Brexit

Election 2017: what the parties haven’t told voters

Full Fact factchecks what the parties do say. Often what they haven't said matters even more.

Liberal Democrat Manifesto: Brexit

What is the plan for Brexit?

Brexit: is the UK economy growing or slowing?

GDP growth was higher than expected in the second half of 2016. It slowed in the first three months of this year.

Trade with the Commonwealth

Exports to the other 50 or so Commonwealth nations were 9% of the total in 2015.

What is hard Brexit?

Hard Brexit. Soft Brexit. There are lots of ways we could leave the European Union. Find out what each type of Brexit actually means.

UKIP Manifesto: EU budget contributions

We've factchecked claims from UKIP's 2017 election manifesto.

An introduction to the World Trade Organisation

The World Trade Organisation, or WTO, comes up again and again in the Brexit debate. Here’s our quick, expert guide to what it does.

Will a hard Brexit cost £100 billion?

The most recent figures can’t tell us how much of an impact Brexit has had on the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecast for public sector debt. In November 2016 the OBR said that voting to leave the EU would add £15.2 billion to the debt by 2020/21.

The Conservative manifesto on the single market

The 2015 Conservative manifesto did commit the party to the single market. The government’s EU referendum leaflet didn’t say explicitly that leaving the EU would mean leaving the single market, but strongly suggested as much.

The UK's EU membership fee

In 2016 the UK government paid £13.1 billion to the EU budget, and EU spending on the UK was forecast to be £4.5 billion. So the UK’s ‘net contribution’ was estimated at about £8.6 billion.

Has the government assessed the economic impact of no Brexit deal?

A comprehensive forecast hasn’t been produced. The Brexit Secretary says the government has to decide its plan for mitigation before such a forecast can be produced.

Post-Brexit trade tariffs

We have a voluntary choice about import tariffs, but not the tariffs on our exports.

The EU has shrunk as a percentage of the world economy

Daniel Hannan says that Europe has shrunk as a percentage of world GDP. We take a look at the EU's share of world GDP over time.

How much would a hard Brexit cost?

It's not unorthodox to say that trading with the EU under terms set by the WTO would be bad from an economic perspective, but putting an exact cost on it is tricky.

Brexit and economic apocalypse

There hasn’t been an immediate hit to economic growth following the EU referendum.

What’s the link between membership of the single market and lower wages?

Whatever the answer is, it won’t be simple.

The pound isn’t at its highest level in two years

The pound saw a big one-day rise yesterday, but its value against the US dollar remains low compared to recent years.

About 1 in 7 German cars are sold in the UK

On its own, that doesn’t tell us who needs to trade with the other more.

False claims, forecasts, and the EU Referendum

Campaigners on both sides made false claims, or predicted things that turned out to be wrong.

Brexit means... borrowing?

The Office for Budget Responsibility expect the government to have a £21 billion deficit in 2020/21. In March they had predicted an £11 billion surplus.

Brexit and household incomes

In the main, the Office for Budget Responsibility has lowered its expectations

The IMF on Brexit

Did the International Monetary Fund get its Brexit predictions wrong?

Free trade outside the EU customs union

Can the UK be partly in and partly out of the EU customs union?