Brexit

Fact checks looking at the impact and reported impact of brexit on the UK economy

2 August 2021

The government’s numbers on savings for wine drinkers don’t add up

The government estimated its new imports policy will save wine drinkers £130 million. An industry body puts the figure at around £30 million.

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The government’s numbers on savings for wine drinkers don’t add up
17 February 2021

Did EU exports really drop 68% in January?

There is other evidence that trade did not fall this much and it may have been driven by stockpiling before January and Covid.

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Did EU exports really drop 68% in January?
17 December 2020

How to check claims about tariffs and trade

Knowing which tariffs to pay and what rules to follow is vital for businesses. Misinformation about tariff rates can be used to mislead the public. Here’s how to understand what’s …

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How to check claims about tariffs and trade
30 November 2020

Is the UK's trade deal with Japan better than the EU's?

We don’t know how much better the UK deal is, but it isn’t expected to be worse.

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Is the UK's trade deal with Japan better than the EU's?
28 October 2020

Soy sauce imports from Japan will not be cheaper next year

The UK already imports soy sauce from Japan tariff-free under the EU-Japan deal.

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Soy sauce imports from Japan will not be cheaper next year
20 October 2020

What does an "Australia style" Brexit deal really mean?"

On Sunday, Andrew Marr suggested that an “Australian terms” deal with the EU could well be called “Afghan” terms. Afghanistan actually has more favourable trade terms with the EU than …

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What does an "Australia style" Brexit deal really mean?"
15 September 2020

£1.5bn GDP boost from UK-Japan trade deal is not on top of existing EU-Japan deal benefits

The UK currently trades with Japan under an EU trade agreement. The economic benefits of the new UK-Japan deal are relative to having no agreement, not to trading under the …

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£1.5bn GDP boost from UK-Japan trade deal is not on top of existing EU-Japan deal benefits
27 November 2019

What do the trade documents Jeremy Corbyn showed actually say about drug prices?

The documents show that, as expected, drug patents are a US negotiating objective in trade talks. But they don't show us what, if anything, the UK has actually agreed.

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What do the trade documents Jeremy Corbyn showed actually say about drug prices?
6 November 2019

£50 billion “remain bonus” figure is a reasonable estimate but highly uncertain

The calculation is a fair assessment of the best available forecasts. But those forecasts themselves contain a high degree of uncertainty.

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£50 billion “remain bonus” figure is a reasonable estimate but highly uncertain
18 October 2019

This comparison between Brexit’s impact and the financial crisis is flawed

Government analysis estimated GDP and wages will be lower following Brexit than if the UK remained in the EU. It’s wrong to say the analysis says GDP and wages will …

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This comparison between Brexit’s impact and the financial crisis is flawed

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