Is spending on disability benefits going up or down?
31 March 2016
What was claimed
People with disabilities are set to see a real-terms cut of £1.2 billion a year across this parliament.
Spending on all disability, incapacity, industrial injuries and carer’s benefits, including related housing benefit, is expected to fall by £1.2 billion by the end of this parliament. Spending won’t fall by this amount every year—it will fall by £295 million each year on average.
What was claimed
Spending on the main disability benefits will increase over the course of this parliament.
Spending on Disability Living Allowance, Personal Independence Payments and Attendance Allowance (the ‘main disability benefits’ this claim is referring to) is expected to rise slightly over this parliament, after rising prices are taken into account. It won’t rise by as much as it has been in recent years.
There are a variety of benefits for people who are disabled or incapable of work and differentcombinations of these have been referred to as ‘disability benefits’.
Owen Smith is talking about all disability, incapacity, industrial injuries and carer’s benefits. Spending on these will fall by £1.2 billion by the end of the current parliament once inflation is considered. That doesn’t mean it will fall by that amount in every year of the parliament as Mr Smith appeared to suggest.
The government told us it was referring to spending on Personal Independence Payments (PIP), Disability Living Allowance (DLA) and Attendance Allowance (AA). Spending on these will rise slightly ahead of inflation over the Parliament.
This doesn’t tell us about how spending on individuals has and will change.
All the figures referred to are in 2015/16 prices, unless otherwise stated.
Spending on all disability and incapacity benefits
Spending on all benefits connected to disability and incapacity for work was £42.3 billion in 2010/11, adjusted for rising prices, compared to around £100 billion spent on welfare outside pensions.
It will be £48.6 billion this year and £47.4 billion by 2019/20. That’s an average fall over the next five years of £295 million a year.
It would have been £1 billion less by 2019/20 if the changes to Personal Independence Payment introduced in the budget had been made. They’ve since been withdrawn.
Spending on Disability Living Allowance and Personal Independence Payments
Spending on DLA, PIP and AA, counted in the government’s calculations, is expected to go up slightly. It will increase from about £21.7 billion in 2015/16 to £21.8 billion in 2019/20.
It won’t increase by as much as has been the case over recent years.
If the government had gone ahead with its plans to change PIP, total spending on PIP and DLAwould have fallen in real terms.
What this means for individuals
Looking at overall spending doesn’t tell us about how people with disabilities have been affected or how they will be affected.
The OBR’s projections following the budget this year focus on DLA and PIP, which is what we’re covering here.
The government said the replacement of the Disability Living Allowance with the Personal Independence Payment was designed mainly to support “disabled people who face the greatest challenges to living an independent life”. It was expected to reduce the number of people claiming the benefit and to reduce expenditure from what it would otherwise have been.
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