What does the pledge mean?
As part of a series of “milestones” set out in its “Plan For Change” launched on 5 December 2024, the government pledged to deliver “higher living standards in every part of the United Kingdom by the end of the Parliament”.
It said it will measure “headline progress” against this pledge through “higher Real Household Disposable Income per person and GDP per capita” by the end of the parliament, and that it will also track GDP per capita at a regional level.
Real Household Disposable Income (RHDI) per person is a commonly used measure of living standards—it has risen in every parliamentary term since records began in 1950, but saw the weakest overall growth during the previous parliament.
GDP per capita refers to the size of a country’s economy divided by its population. According to the Resolution Foundation, the UK’s GDP per capita has risen in every parliamentary term since 1955 except for the 2005-2010 and 2019-2024 parliaments (which coincided with the financial crisis and the pandemic respectively, both of which significantly impacted the UK economy). GDP per capita growth across all regions of the UK, however, has only been achieved “in three of the last six parliaments”.
The government has only specified that these measures must be higher at the end of the current parliament (set to be the 2029/2030 financial year) than at the start—it has not set a numerical target.
Honesty in public debate matters
You can help us take action – and get our regular free email
What progress has been made?
For now we’ve rated this pledge as “wait and see”, as the pledge has only just been announced and we don’t have any relevant data for two of the three metrics measured.
It’s too early to tell what progress has been made towards increasing disposable income, as the latest data for RHDI does not include the period since Labour came into government.
We do have some data available for overall GDP per capita, which shows that in the first three months of Labour’s time in office it decreased by 0.1% compared to the previous quarter.
Regional GDP per capita data covering this period has not yet been published.