Prime Minister repeats misleading claim about Labour’s immigration plan
At Prime Minister’s Questions just now, Rishi Sunak claimed Labour’s immigration plan involves “a cosy deal with the EU which would see the UK accept 100,000 illegal migrants”.
As we’ve previously explained, this figure is a Conservative party estimate which is not reliable.
The estimate makes a number of assumptions about a potential future returns deal with the EU, and appears to misinterpret a recent EU agreement on relocating some asylum seekers across the bloc.
In September Sir Keir Starmer said he would ultimately seek a returns deal with the EU if elected, but Labour has said it wouldn’t sign the UK up to an EU quota agreement. It hasn’t said what a future returns deal might look like, or how many migrants it would accept.
Shortly before today’s PMQs, the figure was also used by Conservative MP Jonathan Gullis, who said on BBC Politics Live that Labour’s plan to “stop the boats” was “a quota sharing scheme with the EU so we take 100,000 more illegal migrants”.
Last month we wrote to Mr Sunak and then-Conservative party chair Greg Hands about the use of the “100,000 migrants” figure, and asked them to take steps to prevent the claim being repeated by party members. We have not received a response.
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Supreme Court rules government’s Rwanda policy unlawful
Earlier today the Supreme Court ruled that the UK’s proposal to send asylum seekers to Rwanda is unlawful.
In the past 18 months we have written a number of fact checks concerning the Rwanda scheme, including claims that other European countries had already implemented such schemes and that similar policies were proposed in 2004.
We also wrote about a false claim that the EU had prevented the first Rwanda flight from taking off and fact checked a statement from a Conservative MP that suggested those sent to Rwanda could later return to the UK if their refugee status is accepted.
Small boat arrivals are down compared to last year
On BBC Radio 4’s Today programme this morning, newly appointed Conservative party chair Richard Holden MP said there had been an “around 25% reduction” in the number of small boat crossings “compared to this time last year”.
We’ve had a look at the figures, and while we can’t be certain exactly what periods Mr Holden was comparing, it appears the reduction might actually be higher than he claimed.
The government publishes daily figures on small boat crossings which show that, as of 7 November, since the start of the year there have been 26,699 small boat arrivals. This is a decrease of 33% compared to the same period in 2022.
Looking at the 12 months to November 2023 shows a slightly smaller reduction of 31% compared to the same period the previous year.
It’s worth noting this data is provisional.
Economic inactivity figures explained
The government has been reacting to the publication of new data on employment and wages.
Posts shared on X by the Department for Work and Pensions, and its secretary of state Mel Stride MP, claim that the figures show economic inactivity is down by “almost 300,000 since its pandemic peak”.
That seems to be broadly correct, based on adjusted experimental economic inactivity statistics published by the Office for National Statistics. These show that in the three-month period from July to September 2023, there were 8,726,000 economically inactive people aged 16-64—that’s 285,000 fewer than in the three-month period between May and July 2022, when economic inactivity peaked at 9,011,000 (though these figures have not been adjusted).
The rate of economic inactivity has remained constant at 20.9% since the three-month period between April to June 2023, though the number of economically inactive people has increased slightly over this period.
Has the UK doubled aid to Palestinian civilians?
In recent weeks, the government has said that it has “doubled” aid for Palestinian civilians—a claim also referenced by Rishi Sunak following the King’s Speech last week.
It is true that recently announced aid for the Occupied Palestinian Territories (OPTs) doubles the total amount in aid commitments for the OPTs this year. But that comes after a substantial fall in aid commitments in recent years. We’ve looked at the numbers here.
Fact checking David Cameron
While the Cabinet reshuffle is ongoing, there’s no doubting the big political story of the day—the return to government of former Prime Minister David Cameron, as the new foreign secretary (and the newest member of the House of Lords).
Full Fact was a different organisation back in 2016 when Mr Cameron was last in Downing Street, and our website is a different beast too, so unfortunately there’s no easy way to review all the times we’ve fact checked the former PM. (Though we do have a handy tool to check if we’ve fact checked any currently sitting MP.)
But a quick review of our archive shows we fact checked claims by Mr Cameron dozens of times between 2010 and 2016, on everything from the budget deficit and police numbers to school spending and female employment figures. And just days before the 2016 EU referendum, we live fact checked Mr Cameron’s BBC Question Time special.
In March 2016, after we fact checked a claim Mr Cameron made at Prime Minister’s Questions about school capacity, he subsequently corrected the Parliamentary record.
Full Fact continues to monitor Prime Minister’s Questions, which returns this week, and to seek corrections if the PM or any other MP makes a false claim.
Fact checking claims about protests in the capital
Given there’s a fair bit of news coming out of Westminster today, the weekend may feel a long time ago now. But the big political story on Saturday and Sunday was of course protest marches in London. And on Friday we published two relevant fact checks.
The Conservative MP Danny Kruger told the Today programme last week that a poll showed by “two to one” the public feel police are “too soft” on pro-Palestinian protesters. We tracked down the YouGov poll in question and found that doesn’t fully explain what it found.
We also spent Friday afternoon investigating a viral audio clip which was supposedly a recording of London Mayor Sadiq Khan calling for Remembrance weekend events to be postponed. We found no evidence that it was genuine—the Mayor’s office told us it was fake and the police were investigating. Since then Sky News has reported that specialist officers have reviewed the clip “featuring artificial audio” and “assessed that it does not constitute a criminal offence”.
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Welcome to Full Fact’s politics live blog
Hello, and welcome to Full Fact’s parliamentary and politics live blog.
We’re launching this blog a few days into the 2023-24 parliamentary session, likely to be the final session before the next general election.
We’ll be using this page to provide updates on our politics coverage. That means you’ll see quick reactive fact checks on the day’s political agenda but also links to our more in-depth political fact checks, and our wider work dealing with online misinformation and campaigning for better information in the run-up to the election.
Plus we’ll be giving a bit of an insight into the fact checking process, telling you about some of the claims we’re looking into and some of the (quite extensive) research that goes on behind the scenes.
This is a trial, so please do let us know what you think and how we can improve. You can find out how to get in touch with the Full Fact team here.
Rounding off the election campaign
Today we’ve published our final roundups of the election campaign.
You can now see all our key fact checks from the Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and SNP, and Plaid Cymru, the Green Party and the Brexit Party.
Also after nearly 500 of you sent us your questions, we’ve answered some of them as part of Ask Full Fact.
And if you’re planning to vote tomorrow, here’s our guide to what you need to know about polling day.
These are the facts that we know about the photo of the boy in Leeds General Infirmary
A photo of a boy lying on the floor of Leeds General Infirmary has become one of the most contentious stories of the election campaign.
Here’s what we know about the photo. We will continue to update this when we learn more.
The story first appeared in the Yorkshire Evening Post. The reporter who broke the story, Daniel Sheridan, has said on Twitter that he waited for the hospital to confirm the incident.
Sarah Williment told the publication that her son, Jack, had been taken to hospital on December 3rd with suspected pneumonia. Jack was moved from a bed due to an emergency arrival and put in a room without a bed. Jack, wanting to sleep, had to use the floor. He stayed overnight, but according to Mrs Williment, it took him 13 hours after arrival to be given a bed on a ward.
The article also included a statement from the Dr Yvette Oade, the Chief Medical Officer of the hospital’s NHS trust, apologising for what happened and confirming key aspects of the story.
That statement says, in part: “Within four hours a decision was made to admit Jack to our Children’s Assessment and Treatment (CAT) Unit for further monitoring overnight. Unfortunately, the unit was also experiencing exceptionally high levels of demand which meant that Jack was required to wait in the clinical treatment room in the Paediatric Emergency Department until a bed became available. Jack was admitted to the CAT Unit later that evening and was discharged home the following morning after a medical review.
“We are extremely sorry that there were only chairs available in the treatment room, and no bed. This falls below our usual high standards, and for this, we would like to sincerely apologise to Jack and his family.”
Health Secretary Matt Hancock also issued an apology after visiting the hospital.
Following the story receiving national coverage, a number of people on social media claimed to have information that countered the mother’s story.
A post on one woman’s Facebook page claimed that she knew a nurse at the hospital, who supposedly said that the boy actually had a trolley and was placed on the floor by his mother for the purpose of the photo (a claim that seems to be contradicted by the statement from Dr Oade). This account of the incident was copied and pasted by numerous other people and quickly spread across social media, making it look as though many people were claiming to know the situation.
The woman has since told the Guardian that her account was hacked and that she knows nothing about the situation.
More generally, numerous people began to claim that they had a medical background or knowledge, or had spoken to someone in the medical profession who disagreed with the boy’s treatment, thus proving the image was fake. Again, there is no clear proof any of these accounts are true, and many appeared to be copy and pasting identical statements. They are also contradicted, again, by the statement from Dr Oade given to the Yorkshire Evening Post.
Many social media users have suggested that these accounts are 'bots', but we have seen no evidence to date that they are automated. As we've written before, what can appear to be bot-like behaviour is often carried out by real humans.
There has been some confusion as to whether a hospital trolley bed can be seen in the photo (which shows an item of furniture with wheels in the upper right corner). There's no reason to believe that this is a trolley bed; a lot of hospital equipment has wheels so it can be moved to where it is most needed. The equipment in the photo also appears to have shelves, suggesting it is unlikely to be a trolley bed.