Have 100,000 retail jobs been lost over three years?
27th Sep 2018
100,000 retail jobs have been lost in three years.
There were 98,000 fewer jobs in retail in Great Britain in June 2018 than in June 2015, a drop of around 4%. These figures don’t count self-employed jobs or those in online retail.
“A staggering 100,000 retail jobs have been lost in stores across Britain since 2015”.
Labour party, 16 September 2018
There were 98,000 fewer employee retail jobs in stores in England, Scotland and Wales between the three months ending June 2015 and June 2018.
That’s the number of filled jobs, not people working in that industry (as people can have multiple jobs).
The number of employee retail jobs in shops went from 2.7 million in June 2015, to 2.6 million in June 2018. That’s a drop of 4%.
This is only for jobs in stores, stalls or markets, so doesn’t include jobs in areas like mail order sales or those done over the internet. It’s only employee retail jobs (which are 99% of the total workforce), so doesn’t include self-employed jobs.
If you include internet retail and mail-order employee jobs, the drop is slightly less at around 93,000, or 3%.
The pattern over time is similar even if you include self-employed jobs, and online or mail order retail jobs.
There are large seasonal differences in the number of retail employee jobs (as we discuss in our factcheck here) as shops hire more people solely for the Christmas season.
We can also compare the number of jobs between years by looking at averages taken over a year-long period. Using the most recent data, for the year to June 2018, there were an average of 2.68 million (not online or mail order) retail employee jobs. In the year to June 2015, there was an average of 2.73 million. The decrease is closer to 49,000 when you look at the figures this way.
There’s usually a drop in the number of all retail jobs in the first three months of the year. The numbers then usually level out again before rising at Christmas.
Between the first and second quarters of 2018, the number of jobs dropped again as much as it did in the first three months of the year (by 90,000).
The Office for National Statistics calculates the number of jobs in an industry using “a number of sources”, including short-term surveys of businesses and the Labour Force Survey, which is also used to calculate employment.