Unevidenced tweet about People’s Vote crowd size spreads to Facebook

28th Oct 2019

Claim

According to German TV, there were 2.2 million at the People’s Vote march in London on Saturday 19 October.

Conclusion

We’ve seen no evidence any German TV station said this. Best estimates suggest the number was in the low hundreds of thousands. Two million is an implausible estimate.

At least three Facebook posts have shared a link to a tweet which claims that, according to German TV, there were 2.2 million at the People’s Vote march in London on Saturday 19 October. The original tweet has been shared over 4,000 times.

The tweet is incorrect. We’ve found no evidence that German TV reported a figure of 2.2 million people at the march, and the claim seems to originate from an anonymous twitter account.

Most of the coverage that we’ve seen from German media, both broadcast and online, reported a number in the tens or hundreds of thousands. A couple of German news websites also quoted the organisers’ estimate of one million people.

We also spoke to experts in crowd science at the Manchester Metropolitan University. They told us that a total crowd of two million people was implausible. Their estimates found that the number was most likely in the low hundreds of thousands, and certainly not in the millions. You can read more about those estimates here.

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